DOCTORS WARN OF NEW BIOLOGICAL TERROR `WITHIN 10 YEARS

PA 21.01.99 18:23


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By John von Radowitz, Science Correspondent, PA News
Rapid advances in genetics could make terrifying "ethnic cleansing" weapons a reality within 10 years, doctors warned today.
Genetic biological weapons would be able to target particular ethnic groups by homing on the molecular differences between, for example, blacks and whites or Arabs and Jews.
Only in the presence of a specific set of genetic "markers" would the death-dealing viral or bacterial agent be activated.
A built-in "clock" could even ensure that such a weapon switched itself off after the job was done - for instance after wiping out a city or region inhabited by the targeted ethnic group.
It sounds like science fiction. But experts from the British Medical Association today warned that early versions of such weapons could exist in five to 10 years.
Ironically, the new terror weapons would be spin-offs from advances that will reap huge rewards for medicine and save countless lives.
Two key developments were highlighted by the experts. One is the Human Genome Project which aims to map the entire human genetic blueprint by 2003.
The other is gene therapy, a technology still in its infancy, which uses "vectors" such as harmless viruses to carry corrective DNA into malfunctioning cells.
Professor Malcolm Dando from the Department of Peace Studies at Bradford University, author of the BMA report "Biotechnology Weapons and Humanity" published today, said: "The development of molecular medicine based on our new understanding of genomics will allow a vast range of new weaponry to be developed.
"Among that range could be biological weapons specifically targeted at particular ethnic groups."
The BMA called for the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention agreed in 1972 to stop the spread of biological and chemical weapons to be strengthened.
Doctors were especially anxious to see effective verification procedures introduced to ensure compliance.
An ethnic weapon would work using a biological agent genetically engineered to target cellular molecular sites specific to certain races, or even DNA sequences inside cells. Only in the presence of these "markers" would they be activated.
Genetic engineering would also enable more stable, efficient, and drug resistant strains of bacterial or viral weapons to be created.
The fact that future biological weapons would be so much more precise and reliable than they are now would increase the chances of them being used, doctors warned.
One of the greatest dangers was terrorist groups getting their hands on such weapons. Equipment advances would make them relatively easy to produce from small, high-tech laboratories.
Dr Vivienne Nathanson, the BMA's head of health policy research, said: "The history of humanity is a history of war. Scientific advances quickly lead to developments in weapons technology.
"It would be a tragedy if in 10 years' time the world faces the reality of genetically engineered and possibly genetically targeted weapons. Getting rid of weapons once they are produced is very difficult; governments may be reluctant to give up weapons that the rest of the world finds unacceptable. Terrorists certainly will be.
"We still have the chance to strengthen the ban on these weapons. We must do so now and we must make sure the ban is policed effectively."

The Foreign Office said Britain was spearheading a major bid to put teeth into the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention.
At present there is no requirement for the compliance measures that exist in other armament control conventions - for instance, those covering nuclear weapons.
But on January 4 at a disarmament conference in Geneva, a 16-week process of negotiation was launched, aimed at compiling a set of verification protocols.
Britain is a leading mover in the negotiations, said the Foreign Office.
A spokesman said: "We have been arguing for a long time that the lack of protocols is something we must put right, and have made some significant progress in recent months.
"We believe it is a realistic goal to get these protocols agreed by the year 2000."
He said Britain had offered to host the signing ceremony for the agreement once it was finalised.


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