Modified-crop studies are called inconclusive

New York Times, USA, by Carol Kaesuk Yoon

Modified-crop studies are called inconclusive

Ever since genetically modified crops appeared, supporters and 
detractors of the plants have made competing claims about whether 
they are safe or harmful to the environment. Tomorrow, in what some 
scientists say is the first comprehensive review of the published 
scientific data, researchers will report that simple conclusions 
cannot yet be drawn because the crucial studies have not yet been 
done. Millions of acres of the crops have been planted in the United 
States, their way paved by studies conducted by industry and 
submitted to government regulators as evidence of safety but which 
typically were not published in peer-reviewed journals.

For this review, the researchers examined only studies that other 
scientists had determined were of high- enough quality to merit 
publication. The researchers found that while genetically engineered 
crops hold potential for both risk and benefit, scientists still know 
little about the likelihood even of the environmental threats of 
greatest concern. Also, almost no studies have been published 
documenting ecological benefits.

The two authors of the study published in the journal Science are 
fellows sponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of 
Science, the world's largest nonprofit scientific federation. In 
their study, in which they call for new research, the authors say 
current data indicate that assessing ecological risks is likely to be 
complex, with risks varying among crops, even among strains of a 
single crop, between environments and over time. Some risks, they 
say, may be so difficult and time-consuming to assess as to be 
effectively unknowable.

"We're a ways away from really having answers," said Dr. LaReesa 
Wolfenbarger, an ecologist who is doing her fellowship at the 
Environmental Protection Agency and is co- author of the study with 
Dr. Paul Phifer, a conservation biologist doing his fellowship at the 
State Department. The authors emphasized that they had conducted the 
study independently and did not speak for the government. "Some of 
these questions are very elusive," Dr. Wolfenbarger said, "but that 
doesn't mean that we stop studying them or make sweeping 
generalizations that they don't exist." Scientists on both sides of 
the debate called the review fair and accurate, though each side 
interpreted the findings differently.

"It's a pretty reasonable summary and pretty well balanced," said Dr. 
Robert Fraley, chief technical officer of the Monsanto Company. Dr. 
Fraley played down the findings, however, saying that in several 
years of commercial use, no ecological problems had yet been shown to 
be caused by genetically engineered plants.

Dr. Jane Rissler, senior staff scientist at the Union of Concerned 
Scientists, a group critical of the use of genetically modified 
crops, called the paper "very fair and clear." Dr. Rissler said: "You 
come out of this with a strong sense that we don't know very much 
about the risks and the benefits. If we don't know, why are we doing 
this?"

A spokeswoman for the Department of Agriculture, which oversees 
regulation of genetically engineered plants, said scientists at the 
department were reviewing the study.

The researchers examined 35 peer-reviewed studies. They looked at 
risks including the production of "superweeds," the creation of new 
viral diseases and unintended harm to nonpest species, like monarch 
butterflies. They often found that while studies suggested a 
potential for risk, other studies presented conflicting results 
arguing against risk. In some cases, laboratory studies suggested 
risk, but no studies in the field were conducted to test if harm 
occurred.

And while some studies showed the potential for environmental 
benefits from these crops, the researchers found they fell short of 
documenting actual benefit. For example, a Department of Agriculture 
study indicated a 1 percent decrease in the amount of pesticides used 
on corn, cotton and soybeans in 1998, as an apparent result of the 
adoption of genetically modified crops. Yet, Dr. Wolfenbarger said, 
it remains unknown whether this decrease in pesticides translated 
into any environmental benefit for wild species.


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